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Politique·Élection Principale

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politique·Élection Principale

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 45%

Stefan Evers 34%

Werner Graf 15%

Kristin Brinker 6.2%

Polymarket

$17,590 Vol.

Elif Eralp 45%

Stefan Evers 34%

Werner Graf 15%

Kristin Brinker 6.2%

Polymarket

$17,590 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$8,717 Vol.

45%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$5,242 Vol.

34%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$2,000 Vol.

15%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$970 Vol.

6%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$661 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus, which elects the next Governing Mayor amid a fragmented five-party landscape. Recent polling shows support split across the CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD, leaving coalition negotiations as the decisive factor after the vote. Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over his handling of a major power outage introduced uncertainty, with replacement Stefan Evers now heading the ticket. Elif Eralp of the Left, Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD anchor competing blocs, keeping implied probabilities tightly matched near 50 percent for leading contenders. Late campaign developments in turnout, cross-party positioning, or coalition signals could shift the balance before the House selects the mayor.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,590
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus, which elects the next Governing Mayor amid a fragmented five-party landscape. Recent polling shows support split across the CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD, leaving coalition negotiations as the decisive factor after the vote. Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over his handling of a major power outage introduced uncertainty, with replacement Stefan Evers now heading the ticket. Elif Eralp of the Left, Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD anchor competing blocs, keeping implied probabilities tightly matched near 50 percent for leading contenders. Late campaign developments in turnout, cross-party positioning, or coalition signals could shift the balance before the House selects the mayor.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,590
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

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Le Linke remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections régionales de Berlin en 2026 ?

41%
Oui
icon for Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

26%
icon for Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

38%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Elif Eralp » à 45%, suivi de « Stefan Evers » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » a généré $17.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » est « Elif Eralp » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Stefan Evers » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.