Nasiphi Moya holds the leading position in trader consensus following the November 4, 2026, local government elections, which produced a hung Tshwane council with the DA at roughly 31-34%, ActionSA near 22-23%, and the ANC around 20-22%. No party secured a majority, shifting focus to coalition talks where ActionSA has conditioned support on Moya’s re-election for another term, citing her incumbency since 2024 and cross-community appeal. The DA, as the largest party, backs Cilliers Brink but faces resistance from potential partners, while ANC nominees such as Kgoši Maepa and Aaron Maluleka remain sidelined amid internal party dynamics and lower personal polling. Moya’s visibility in service delivery debates and ActionSA’s seat leverage have reinforced her implied probability ahead of the council’s inaugural mayoral vote.