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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

icon for Prochain premier ministre du Québec
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 71%

Charles Milliard 16%

Christine Fréchette 13.3%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$243,225 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 71%

Charles Milliard 16%

Christine Fréchette 13.3%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$243,225 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$17,822 Vol.

71%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$12,590 Vol.

16%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$23,780 Vol.

13%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$58,618 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$48,652 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$47,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$34,149 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus at 71% for next Quebec premier, driven by the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent edge in recent voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election. The PQ secured a key by-election win in Chicoutimi earlier in 2026 and has sustained support among francophone voters, with Plamondon conducting targeted outreach to anglophones to broaden appeal. Charles Milliard of the Quebec Liberal Party and Christine Fréchette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trail at 16% and 13%, respectively, reflecting their parties' more competitive but secondary positions in current polling aggregates. Market pricing reflects these electoral dynamics and the scheduled campaign timeline rather than guaranteed outcomes.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$243,225
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus at 71% for next Quebec premier, driven by the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent edge in recent voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election. The PQ secured a key by-election win in Chicoutimi earlier in 2026 and has sustained support among francophone voters, with Plamondon conducting targeted outreach to anglophones to broaden appeal. Charles Milliard of the Quebec Liberal Party and Christine Fréchette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trail at 16% and 13%, respectively, reflecting their parties' more competitive but secondary positions in current polling aggregates. Market pricing reflects these electoral dynamics and the scheduled campaign timeline rather than guaranteed outcomes.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$243,225
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

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71%
Oui
icon for Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

6%
Oui
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54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain premier ministre du Québec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 71%, suivi de « Charles Milliard » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » a généré $243.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain premier ministre du Québec », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Charles Milliard » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.