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Politique·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politique·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 52%

Elly Schlein 15%

Giuseppe Conte 12%

Roberto Vannacci 7.9%

Polymarket

$75,459 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 52%

Elly Schlein 15%

Giuseppe Conte 12%

Roberto Vannacci 7.9%

Polymarket

$75,459 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$8,653 Vol.

52%

Elly Schlein

$5,675 Vol.

15%

Giuseppe Conte

$5,139 Vol.

12%

Antonio Tajani

$2,102 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$3,330 Vol.

<1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$2,268 Vol.

3%

Silvia Salis

$8,526 Vol.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$33,185 Vol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$1,567 Vol.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,722 Vol.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$1,828 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni maintains a leading position in the trader consensus for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her incumbency, coalition majority, and consistent polling strength ahead of the general election due by December 2027. A failed March 2026 referendum on judicial reform dented her government’s momentum and energized opposition parties, elevating Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement as the primary challengers while prompting discussions of opposition primaries to unify behind a single candidate. Roberto Vannacci has gained traction within the right-wing spectrum, and Silvia Salis has emerged as a potential center-left unifier following her local success. Market pricing reflects Italy’s historical preference for incumbents completing full terms alongside risks from coalition fractures or shifting voter sentiment on economic and migration issues.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,459
Date de fin
31 déc. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni maintains a leading position in the trader consensus for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her incumbency, coalition majority, and consistent polling strength ahead of the general election due by December 2027. A failed March 2026 referendum on judicial reform dented her government’s momentum and energized opposition parties, elevating Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement as the primary challengers while prompting discussions of opposition primaries to unify behind a single candidate. Roberto Vannacci has gained traction within the right-wing spectrum, and Silvia Salis has emerged as a potential center-left unifier following her local success. Market pricing reflects Italy’s historical preference for incumbents completing full terms alongside risks from coalition fractures or shifting voter sentiment on economic and migration issues.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,459
Date de fin
31 déc. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Prime Minister of Italy? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Giorgia Meloni » à 52%, suivi de « Elly Schlein » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Prime Minister of Italy? » a généré $75.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Prime Minister of Italy? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Prime Minister of Italy? » est « Giorgia Meloni » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Elly Schlein » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Prime Minister of Italy? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.