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Politics·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politics·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 53%

Elly Schlein 14%

Roberto Vannacci 10.4%

Giuseppe Conte 9%

Polymarket

$41,669 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 53%

Elly Schlein 14%

Roberto Vannacci 10.4%

Giuseppe Conte 9%

Polymarket

$41,669 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$6,529 Vol.

53%

Elly Schlein

$2,163 Vol.

14%

Giuseppe Conte

$2,972 Vol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$1,514 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$1,848 Vol.

1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$1,385 Vol.

3%

Silvia Salis

$4,729 Vol.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$15,011 Vol.

10%

Matteo Renzi

$1,335 Vol.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$1,531 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader pricing for Italy’s next prime minister because her Fratelli d’Italia party tops recent voting-intention polls at roughly 28 percent, keeping the center-right coalition narrowly ahead of the fragmented center-left opposition ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform dented momentum and prompted speculation about early polls or cabinet reshuffles, yet May municipal results showed the governing bloc holding ground in key provinces and no confidence crisis has materialized. Giuseppe Conte and Elly Schlein trail as the most credible alternative leaders given their parties’ combined polling share near 35 percent, while lower-priced figures such as Roberto Vannacci or Mario Draghi lack comparable parliamentary backing or coalition viability at present. The market therefore reflects the current distribution of seats and polling trends rather than any imminent leadership transition.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,669
Date de fin
31 déc. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader pricing for Italy’s next prime minister because her Fratelli d’Italia party tops recent voting-intention polls at roughly 28 percent, keeping the center-right coalition narrowly ahead of the fragmented center-left opposition ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform dented momentum and prompted speculation about early polls or cabinet reshuffles, yet May municipal results showed the governing bloc holding ground in key provinces and no confidence crisis has materialized. Giuseppe Conte and Elly Schlein trail as the most credible alternative leaders given their parties’ combined polling share near 35 percent, while lower-priced figures such as Roberto Vannacci or Mario Draghi lack comparable parliamentary backing or coalition viability at present. The market therefore reflects the current distribution of seats and polling trends rather than any imminent leadership transition.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,669
Date de fin
31 déc. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Prime Minister of Italy? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Giorgia Meloni » à 53%, suivi de « Elly Schlein » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Prime Minister of Italy? » a généré $41.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Prime Minister of Italy? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Prime Minister of Italy? » est « Giorgia Meloni » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Elly Schlein » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Prime Minister of Italy? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.