Romania's ongoing government formation crisis after the May 2026 no-confidence ouster of Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition has positioned Alexandru Nazare as the leading candidate in trader assessments. As finance minister and PNL figure, Nazare benefits from party support in stalled negotiations amid PSD-AUR parliamentary leverage and President Nicușor Dan's mediation efforts. Sorin Grindeanu trails as the PSD's primary contender, reflecting the largest party's influence in any potential minority or reconfigured arrangement. Failed nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea in June underscore barriers to consensus, with market pricing capturing these procedural hurdles and the absence of snap elections before 2028.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlexandru Nazare 48.3%
Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%
Radu Burnete 6.7%
Ilie Bolojan 4.0%
$3,331,059 Vol.
$3,331,059 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Alexandru Nazare
48%
Sorin Grindeanu
23%
Radu Burnete
7%
Ilie Bolojan
4%
Siegfried Mureșan
2%
Eugen Tomac
2%
Lucian Croitoru
2%
Delia Velculescu
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
Dan Motreanu
1%
Cătălin Predoiu
1%
Traian Băsescu
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
1%
Dragoș Pîslaru
1%
Șerban Matei
1%
Hunor Kelemen
1%
George Simion
1%
Calin Georgescu
1%
Adrian Veștea
1%
Anca Dragu
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Victor Ponta
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
Alexandru Rogobete
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Nazare 48.3%
Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%
Radu Burnete 6.7%
Ilie Bolojan 4.0%
$3,331,059 Vol.
$3,331,059 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Alexandru Nazare
$224,168 Vol.
48%
Sorin Grindeanu
$439,651 Vol.
23%
Radu Burnete
$98,923 Vol.
7%
Ilie Bolojan
$168,085 Vol.
4%
Siegfried Mureșan
$11,043 Vol.
2%
Eugen Tomac
$260,843 Vol.
2%
Lucian Croitoru
$47,773 Vol.
2%
Delia Velculescu
$105,973 Vol.
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
$70,840 Vol.
1%
Dan Motreanu
$76,673 Vol.
1%
Cătălin Predoiu
$152,321 Vol.
1%
Traian Băsescu
$60,634 Vol.
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
$46,381 Vol.
1%
Dragoș Pîslaru
$72,955 Vol.
1%
Șerban Matei
$76,195 Vol.
1%
Hunor Kelemen
$83,766 Vol.
1%
George Simion
$60,280 Vol.
1%
Calin Georgescu
$61,503 Vol.
1%
Adrian Veștea
$205,064 Vol.
1%
Anca Dragu
$68,435 Vol.
<1%
Lucian Isar
$59,344 Vol.
<1%
Raluca Turcan
$46,483 Vol.
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
$56,429 Vol.
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
$54,148 Vol.
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
$54,291 Vol.
<1%
Victor Ponta
$58,401 Vol.
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
$48,865 Vol.
<1%
Mircea Geoană
$54,993 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
$68,558 Vol.
<1%
Elena Lasconi
$84,699 Vol.
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
$65,272 Vol.
<1%
Emil Boc
$59,229 Vol.
<1%
Dominic Fritz
$54,744 Vol.
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
$60,457 Vol.
<1%
Alexandru Rogobete
$51,775 Vol.
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
$61,865 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing government formation crisis after the May 2026 no-confidence ouster of Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition has positioned Alexandru Nazare as the leading candidate in trader assessments. As finance minister and PNL figure, Nazare benefits from party support in stalled negotiations amid PSD-AUR parliamentary leverage and President Nicușor Dan's mediation efforts. Sorin Grindeanu trails as the PSD's primary contender, reflecting the largest party's influence in any potential minority or reconfigured arrangement. Failed nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea in June underscore barriers to consensus, with market pricing capturing these procedural hurdles and the absence of snap elections before 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$3,331,059Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing government formation crisis after the May 2026 no-confidence ouster of Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition has positioned Alexandru Nazare as the leading candidate in trader assessments. As finance minister and PNL figure, Nazare benefits from party support in stalled negotiations amid PSD-AUR parliamentary leverage and President Nicușor Dan's mediation efforts. Sorin Grindeanu trails as the PSD's primary contender, reflecting the largest party's influence in any potential minority or reconfigured arrangement. Failed nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea in June underscore barriers to consensus, with market pricing capturing these procedural hurdles and the absence of snap elections before 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,331,059Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's ongoing government formation crisis after the May 2026 no-confidence ouster of Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition has positioned Alexandru Nazare as the leading candidate in trader assessments. As finance minister and PNL figure, Nazare benefits from party support in stalled negotiations amid PSD-AUR parliamentary leverage and President Nicușor Dan's mediation efforts. Sorin Grindeanu trails as the PSD's primary contender, reflecting the largest party's influence in any potential minority or reconfigured arrangement. Failed nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea in June underscore barriers to consensus, with market pricing capturing these procedural hurdles and the absence of snap elections before 2028.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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