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Politique·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politique·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 13.8%

Santiago Abascal 4.0%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 3.1%

Polymarket

$120,981 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 13.8%

Santiago Abascal 4.0%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 3.1%

Polymarket

$120,981 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,625 Vol.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,072 Vol.

14%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,402 Vol.

4%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$6,920 Vol.

3%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Vol.

1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,162 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 79.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of Spain’s next general election due no later than August 2027.** Recent corruption convictions of former PSOE ministers, including José Luis Ábalos, alongside ongoing investigations tied to the party and Sánchez’s circle, have eroded the incumbent’s position and prompted calls for early elections from some coalition partners. Sánchez’s minority government lost parliamentary support from Junts in late 2025 and now operates under a rolled-over 2023 budget, facing added strain from the August 2026 Ceuta migration crisis. Polling aggregates show PP at roughly 32-34% with Vox rising toward 17-19%, positioning a right-leaning majority as the most probable outcome. Sánchez trades at 13.9% and lower-probability names remain discounted, as traders price the next investiture based on current seat projections and coalition arithmetic rather than current office-holding.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120,981
Date de fin
31 mars 2028
Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 79.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of Spain’s next general election due no later than August 2027.** Recent corruption convictions of former PSOE ministers, including José Luis Ábalos, alongside ongoing investigations tied to the party and Sánchez’s circle, have eroded the incumbent’s position and prompted calls for early elections from some coalition partners. Sánchez’s minority government lost parliamentary support from Junts in late 2025 and now operates under a rolled-over 2023 budget, facing added strain from the August 2026 Ceuta migration crisis. Polling aggregates show PP at roughly 32-34% with Vox rising toward 17-19%, positioning a right-leaning majority as the most probable outcome. Sánchez trades at 13.9% and lower-probability names remain discounted, as traders price the next investiture based on current seat projections and coalition arithmetic rather than current office-holding.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120,981
Date de fin
31 mars 2028
Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Next Prime Minister of Spain? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Alberto Núñez Feijóo » à 80%, suivi de « Pedro Sánchez » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 80¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 80% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Prime Minister of Spain? » a généré $121K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Prime Minister of Spain? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Prime Minister of Spain? » est « Alberto Núñez Feijóo » à 80%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 80% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pedro Sánchez » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Prime Minister of Spain? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.