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icon for Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ?
Politique·Makerfield

Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ?

icon for Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ?
Politique·Makerfield

Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ?

Oui

14% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

14% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Reform UK's strong performance in the May 2026 local elections, where the party gained over 1,400 seats and outperformed expectations in former Labour strongholds, has reinforced Nigel Farage's position as leader. He publicly described the results as a historic shift, and the party website continues to list him in the role alongside a frontbench team formed in February 2026. A June 2026 survey of Reform members showed four in five favoring his continued leadership, even absent a general election win. Recent scrutiny over a £5 million donor gift and a by-election setback in Makerfield has prompted questions but no formal challenge or resignation signals. With a national conference scheduled for September 2026 and the party maintaining momentum ahead of the next general election, trader consensus reflects Farage's entrenched role through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$93
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Reform UK's strong performance in the May 2026 local elections, where the party gained over 1,400 seats and outperformed expectations in former Labour strongholds, has reinforced Nigel Farage's position as leader. He publicly described the results as a historic shift, and the party website continues to list him in the role alongside a frontbench team formed in February 2026. A June 2026 survey of Reform members showed four in five favoring his continued leadership, even absent a general election win. Recent scrutiny over a £5 million donor gift and a by-election setback in Makerfield has prompted questions but no formal challenge or resignation signals. With a national conference scheduled for September 2026 and the party maintaining momentum ahead of the next general election, trader consensus reflects Farage's entrenched role through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$93
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Nigel Farage évincé en tant que chef de Reform UK en 2026 ? » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 14¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ? » est « Nigel Farage évincé en tant que chef de Reform UK en 2026 ? » à 14%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nigel Farage en tant que leader du Royaume-Uni réformé en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.