Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight race for the most seats ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) projected in the low-to-mid 30s. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated in Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, limiting its path to broader gains despite consistent strength in those areas. Francophone voter intentions have shifted toward the PQ and CAQ amid campaign focus on trade tensions with the United States, contributing to recent drops in PLQ numbers. Seat models reflect this geographic split and ongoing volatility, with the market range centered on 28–35 seats. Additional polls and regional turnout patterns in battleground districts could narrow or widen those ranges before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour32-35 30%
28-31 25%
36-39 20%
<28 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<28
19%
28-31
25%
32-35
30%
36-39
20%
40-43
6%
44+
6%
32-35 30%
28-31 25%
36-39 20%
<28 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<28
$1,937 Vol.
19%
28-31
$1,419 Vol.
25%
32-35
$959 Vol.
30%
36-39
$1,303 Vol.
20%
40-43
$829 Vol.
6%
44+
$615 Vol.
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight race for the most seats ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) projected in the low-to-mid 30s. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated in Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, limiting its path to broader gains despite consistent strength in those areas. Francophone voter intentions have shifted toward the PQ and CAQ amid campaign focus on trade tensions with the United States, contributing to recent drops in PLQ numbers. Seat models reflect this geographic split and ongoing volatility, with the market range centered on 28–35 seats. Additional polls and regional turnout patterns in battleground districts could narrow or widen those ranges before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$7,062Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight race for the most seats ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) projected in the low-to-mid 30s. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated in Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, limiting its path to broader gains despite consistent strength in those areas. Francophone voter intentions have shifted toward the PQ and CAQ amid campaign focus on trade tensions with the United States, contributing to recent drops in PLQ numbers. Seat models reflect this geographic split and ongoing volatility, with the market range centered on 28–35 seats. Additional polls and regional turnout patterns in battleground districts could narrow or widen those ranges before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,062Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight race for the most seats ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) projected in the low-to-mid 30s. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated in Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, limiting its path to broader gains despite consistent strength in those areas. Francophone voter intentions have shifted toward the PQ and CAQ amid campaign focus on trade tensions with the United States, contributing to recent drops in PLQ numbers. Seat models reflect this geographic split and ongoing volatility, with the market range centered on 28–35 seats. Additional polls and regional turnout patterns in battleground districts could narrow or widen those ranges before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le PQ remportera-t-il moins de 50 sièges à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
28%
Oui
Le PCQ remportera-t-il 11 à 13 sièges à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
25%
Oui
La CAQ remportera-t-elle 30 sièges ou plus à l’Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
42%
Oui
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