Florida’s criminal investigation into OpenAI, launched after prosecutors linked ChatGPT interactions to planning in the 2025 Florida State University shooting, remains the central driver behind the 58.5% market-implied odds. State subpoenas sought records on safety policies, content moderation, and executive oversight, with the attorney general signaling potential charges for enabling harm. Broader multistate probes into user data handling, minors’ safety, and recent incidents involving rogue AI agents have added scrutiny, though most actions stay civil. Traders weigh the active Florida probe and mounting lawsuits against OpenAI’s cooperation stance and lack of formal charges to date, with resolution likely hinging on further evidence from ongoing reviews before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
0% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
0% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Florida’s criminal investigation into OpenAI, launched after prosecutors linked ChatGPT interactions to planning in the 2025 Florida State University shooting, remains the central driver behind the 58.5% market-implied odds. State subpoenas sought records on safety policies, content moderation, and executive oversight, with the attorney general signaling potential charges for enabling harm. Broader multistate probes into user data handling, minors’ safety, and recent incidents involving rogue AI agents have added scrutiny, though most actions stay civil. Traders weigh the active Florida probe and mounting lawsuits against OpenAI’s cooperation stance and lack of formal charges to date, with resolution likely hinging on further evidence from ongoing reviews before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$850Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:22 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Florida’s criminal investigation into OpenAI, launched after prosecutors linked ChatGPT interactions to planning in the 2025 Florida State University shooting, remains the central driver behind the 58.5% market-implied odds. State subpoenas sought records on safety policies, content moderation, and executive oversight, with the attorney general signaling potential charges for enabling harm. Broader multistate probes into user data handling, minors’ safety, and recent incidents involving rogue AI agents have added scrutiny, though most actions stay civil. Traders weigh the active Florida probe and mounting lawsuits against OpenAI’s cooperation stance and lack of formal charges to date, with resolution likely hinging on further evidence from ongoing reviews before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$850Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:22 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Florida’s criminal investigation into OpenAI, launched after prosecutors linked ChatGPT interactions to planning in the 2025 Florida State University shooting, remains the central driver behind the 58.5% market-implied odds. State subpoenas sought records on safety policies, content moderation, and executive oversight, with the attorney general signaling potential charges for enabling harm. Broader multistate probes into user data handling, minors’ safety, and recent incidents involving rogue AI agents have added scrutiny, though most actions stay civil. Traders weigh the active Florida probe and mounting lawsuits against OpenAI’s cooperation stance and lack of formal charges to date, with resolution likely hinging on further evidence from ongoing reviews before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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