OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and ongoing internal debates over timing versus valuation form the core driver of trader sentiment around its eventual public market capitalization. The company reached an $852 billion private valuation in its March 2026 funding round, with reports indicating CEO Sam Altman is pushing for a $1 trillion target that could support a late-2026 or 2027 debut, supported by rapid revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly. Persistent losses, intense competition from Anthropic and hyperscalers, and broader AI sector multiples will influence the final pricing and day-one close relative to historical tech IPO precedents. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 details, underwriter roadshow feedback, and macroeconomic conditions affecting risk appetite for growth equities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,517,807 Vol.
$1,517,807 Vol.
800 milliards $
89%
1 000 milliards $
76%
1,2 billion $ US
60%
1,4 T$
37%
1,6 T$
38%
$1,517,807 Vol.
$1,517,807 Vol.
800 milliards $
89%
1 000 milliards $
76%
1,2 billion $ US
60%
1,4 T$
37%
1,6 T$
38%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and ongoing internal debates over timing versus valuation form the core driver of trader sentiment around its eventual public market capitalization. The company reached an $852 billion private valuation in its March 2026 funding round, with reports indicating CEO Sam Altman is pushing for a $1 trillion target that could support a late-2026 or 2027 debut, supported by rapid revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly. Persistent losses, intense competition from Anthropic and hyperscalers, and broader AI sector multiples will influence the final pricing and day-one close relative to historical tech IPO precedents. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 details, underwriter roadshow feedback, and macroeconomic conditions affecting risk appetite for growth equities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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