Skip to main content
icon for OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ?

OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ?

icon for OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ?

OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ?

Polymarket

$1,488,574 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,488,574 Vol.

800 milliards $

$95,679 Vol.

72%

1 000 milliards $

$1,041,440 Vol.

60%

1,2 billion $ US

$247,610 Vol.

57%

1,4 T$

$59,613 Vol.

55%

1,6 T$

$44,232 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Polymarket traders are pricing a 72% implied probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap to exceed $800 billion—aligning closely with its $852 billion post-money private valuation from the March 2026 funding round—while assigning 60% odds above $1 trillion amid $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 2 revealed CFO Sarah Friar privately urging a delay from late 2026 to 2027, citing missed internal user growth and revenue targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments and surging cash burn projected at $17 billion for 2026. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google DeepMind adding uncertainty; key catalysts include potential SEC registration, Musk litigation resolution, and Q2 enterprise metrics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,488,574
Date de fin
31 déc. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Polymarket traders are pricing a 72% implied probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap to exceed $800 billion—aligning closely with its $852 billion post-money private valuation from the March 2026 funding round—while assigning 60% odds above $1 trillion amid $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 2 revealed CFO Sarah Friar privately urging a delay from late 2026 to 2027, citing missed internal user growth and revenue targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments and surging cash burn projected at $17 billion for 2026. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google DeepMind adding uncertainty; key catalysts include potential SEC registration, Musk litigation resolution, and Q2 enterprise metrics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,488,574
Date de fin
31 déc. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 800 milliards $ » à 72%, suivi de « 1 000 milliards $ » à 60%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 72¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 72% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ? » a généré $1.5 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ? » est « 800 milliards $ » à 72%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 72% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1 000 milliards $ » à 60%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « OpenAI IPO clôture la capitalisation boursière au-dessus de ___ ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.