Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,187 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$4,650 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$8,837Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,837Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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