Early buzz around Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, a high-profile adaptation of Homer’s epic with strong reviews and box office performance, has established it as the market’s slight favorite at 44.5% implied probability. Project Hail Mary, The Black Ball, and Dune: Part Three follow as key contenders, buoyed by their source material’s popularity and reported critical interest, while later releases like Toy Story 5 trail. With dozens of titles clustered near even odds, the race remains wide open this far ahead of the 2027 ceremony; guild nominations, precursor awards, and fall review cycles will likely sharpen distinctions between frontrunners and long shots based on screenplay craft, fidelity to source, and overall awards momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 30%
Project Hail Mary 28%
The Invite 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mars 2027
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
30%
Project Hail Mary
28%
The Invite
22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
22%
Cry to Heaven
21%
Clarissa
21%
The Social Reckoning
21%
All of a Sudden
21%
Saturn Return
21%
Wildwood
20%
The Whisper Man
20%
Ink
20%
Dune: Part Three
17%
Toy Story 5
17%
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 30%
Project Hail Mary 28%
The Invite 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mars 2027
The Odyssey
$1 Vol.
43%
The Black Ball
$0 Vol.
30%
Project Hail Mary
$0 Vol.
28%
The Invite
$0 Vol.
22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 Vol.
22%
Cry to Heaven
$0 Vol.
21%
Clarissa
$0 Vol.
21%
The Social Reckoning
$0 Vol.
21%
All of a Sudden
$0 Vol.
21%
Saturn Return
$0 Vol.
21%
Wildwood
$0 Vol.
20%
The Whisper Man
$0 Vol.
20%
Ink
$0 Vol.
20%
Dune: Part Three
$0 Vol.
17%
Toy Story 5
$100 Vol.
17%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, a high-profile adaptation of Homer’s epic with strong reviews and box office performance, has established it as the market’s slight favorite at 44.5% implied probability. Project Hail Mary, The Black Ball, and Dune: Part Three follow as key contenders, buoyed by their source material’s popularity and reported critical interest, while later releases like Toy Story 5 trail. With dozens of titles clustered near even odds, the race remains wide open this far ahead of the 2027 ceremony; guild nominations, precursor awards, and fall review cycles will likely sharpen distinctions between frontrunners and long shots based on screenplay craft, fidelity to source, and overall awards momentum.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$101Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, a high-profile adaptation of Homer’s epic with strong reviews and box office performance, has established it as the market’s slight favorite at 44.5% implied probability. Project Hail Mary, The Black Ball, and Dune: Part Three follow as key contenders, buoyed by their source material’s popularity and reported critical interest, while later releases like Toy Story 5 trail. With dozens of titles clustered near even odds, the race remains wide open this far ahead of the 2027 ceremony; guild nominations, precursor awards, and fall review cycles will likely sharpen distinctions between frontrunners and long shots based on screenplay craft, fidelity to source, and overall awards momentum.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early buzz around Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, a high-profile adaptation of Homer’s epic with strong reviews and box office performance, has established it as the market’s slight favorite at 44.5% implied probability. Project Hail Mary, The Black Ball, and Dune: Part Three follow as key contenders, buoyed by their source material’s popularity and reported critical interest, while later releases like Toy Story 5 trail. With dozens of titles clustered near even odds, the race remains wide open this far ahead of the 2027 ceremony; guild nominations, precursor awards, and fall review cycles will likely sharpen distinctions between frontrunners and long shots based on screenplay craft, fidelity to source, and overall awards momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes