The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Casting Oscar at 42.5% implied probability, driven by its massive ensemble featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and others under casting director John Papsidera, plus the film's $1.7 billion-plus gross and 94% critical score since its July release. The Black Ball follows at 26.1% as Netflix's primary awards push with its acclaimed Spanish-language drama and theatrical window strategy. Wild Horse Nine, Cry to Heaven, and Dune: Part Three trail further, reflecting early positioning based on announced scale and directors rather than full precursor results. With most contenders clustered near 50% or below amid a wide field and no guild signals yet, the race hinges on upcoming festival reactions, SAG-AFTRA casting nods, and late-2026 releases that could shift momentum before nominations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 29.1%
Wild Horse Nine 8.7%
Dune: Part Three 8.4%
$11,427 Vol.
$11,427 Vol.
14 mars 2027
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
29%
Wild Horse Nine
9%
Dune: Part Three
8%
UNABOMBER
8%
Being Heumann
6%
Obsession
6%
Clarissa
4%
Fjord
3%
Digger
1%
Michael
1%
Cry to Heaven
8%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 29.1%
Wild Horse Nine 8.7%
Dune: Part Three 8.4%
$11,427 Vol.
$11,427 Vol.
14 mars 2027
The Odyssey
$7,254 Vol.
43%
The Black Ball
$614 Vol.
29%
Wild Horse Nine
$386 Vol.
9%
Dune: Part Three
$387 Vol.
8%
UNABOMBER
$343 Vol.
8%
Being Heumann
$270 Vol.
6%
Obsession
$308 Vol.
6%
Clarissa
$366 Vol.
4%
Fjord
$320 Vol.
3%
Digger
$341 Vol.
1%
Michael
$258 Vol.
1%
Cry to Heaven
$319 Vol.
8%
Saturn Return
$261 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Casting Oscar at 42.5% implied probability, driven by its massive ensemble featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and others under casting director John Papsidera, plus the film's $1.7 billion-plus gross and 94% critical score since its July release. The Black Ball follows at 26.1% as Netflix's primary awards push with its acclaimed Spanish-language drama and theatrical window strategy. Wild Horse Nine, Cry to Heaven, and Dune: Part Three trail further, reflecting early positioning based on announced scale and directors rather than full precursor results. With most contenders clustered near 50% or below amid a wide field and no guild signals yet, the race hinges on upcoming festival reactions, SAG-AFTRA casting nods, and late-2026 releases that could shift momentum before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$11,427Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Casting Oscar at 42.5% implied probability, driven by its massive ensemble featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and others under casting director John Papsidera, plus the film's $1.7 billion-plus gross and 94% critical score since its July release. The Black Ball follows at 26.1% as Netflix's primary awards push with its acclaimed Spanish-language drama and theatrical window strategy. Wild Horse Nine, Cry to Heaven, and Dune: Part Three trail further, reflecting early positioning based on announced scale and directors rather than full precursor results. With most contenders clustered near 50% or below amid a wide field and no guild signals yet, the race hinges on upcoming festival reactions, SAG-AFTRA casting nods, and late-2026 releases that could shift momentum before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,427Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Casting Oscar at 42.5% implied probability, driven by its massive ensemble featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and others under casting director John Papsidera, plus the film's $1.7 billion-plus gross and 94% critical score since its July release. The Black Ball follows at 26.1% as Netflix's primary awards push with its acclaimed Spanish-language drama and theatrical window strategy. Wild Horse Nine, Cry to Heaven, and Dune: Part Three trail further, reflecting early positioning based on announced scale and directors rather than full precursor results. With most contenders clustered near 50% or below amid a wide field and no guild signals yet, the race hinges on upcoming festival reactions, SAG-AFTRA casting nods, and late-2026 releases that could shift momentum before nominations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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