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icon for Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur

Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur

icon for Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur

Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur

Christopher Nolan 53%

Denis Villeneuve 15%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu 9%

Olivia Wilde 8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Christopher Nolan 53%

Denis Villeneuve 15%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu 9%

Olivia Wilde 8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Christopher Nolan

$22 Vol.

53%

Denis Villeneuve

$20 Vol.

15%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

$40 Vol.

9%

Olivia Wilde

$20 Vol.

8%

Bassam Tariq

$40 Vol.

6%

Steven Spielberg

$40 Vol.

5%

Martin McDonagh

$20 Vol.

5%

Phil Lord ou Christopher Miller

$40 Vol.

4%

Peter Farrelly

$28 Vol.

4%

Jesse Eisenberg

$20 Vol.

4%

Aaron Sorkin

$20 Vol.

4%

Jordan Firstman

$20 Vol.

4%

David O. Russell

$40 Vol.

8%

Lance Oppenheim

$460 Vol.

2%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan leads the early 2027 Oscars Best Director market at 53% implied probability, driven by strong industry anticipation for his ambitious Universal adaptation The Odyssey and his proven awards momentum following Oppenheimer. The field remains wide open with dozens of directors clustered near even odds, reflecting the preliminary stage before major fall releases and precursor awards clarify the race. Denis Villeneuve sits at 15.5% on Dune: Part Three expectations, while names like Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Olivia Wilde, and Martin McDonagh occupy lower tiers amid competing high-profile projects. Guild nominations, critics' circles, and box office tracking for late-2026 releases will likely shift consensus, as historical patterns show frontrunner status often solidifies only after the fall festival circuit.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$831
Date de fin
14 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan leads the early 2027 Oscars Best Director market at 53% implied probability, driven by strong industry anticipation for his ambitious Universal adaptation The Odyssey and his proven awards momentum following Oppenheimer. The field remains wide open with dozens of directors clustered near even odds, reflecting the preliminary stage before major fall releases and precursor awards clarify the race. Denis Villeneuve sits at 15.5% on Dune: Part Three expectations, while names like Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Olivia Wilde, and Martin McDonagh occupy lower tiers amid competing high-profile projects. Guild nominations, critics' circles, and box office tracking for late-2026 releases will likely shift consensus, as historical patterns show frontrunner status often solidifies only after the fall festival circuit.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$831
Date de fin
14 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Tom Cruise va-t-il gagner le prix du Meilleur Acteur à la 99e cérémonie des Oscars ?

Tom Cruise va-t-il gagner le prix du Meilleur Acteur à la 99e cérémonie des Oscars ?

30%
Oui
icon for Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?

66%
icon for Will Michael win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Michael win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

40%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Christopher Nolan » à 53%, suivi de « Denis Villeneuve » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 6, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur » est « Christopher Nolan » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Denis Villeneuve » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur réalisateur » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.