The Oscars 2027 Best Documentary Feature market shows a wide-open field early in the 2026 cycle, with dozens of options trading at 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner. This reflects limited releases, absent precursor buzz, and the long timeline before guild screenings or festival momentum typically emerge. Among named contenders, Tutu holds the clearest edge at 43.6%, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem (21.5%), American Doctor (14.5%), and Nuisance Bear (11.5%) trail as early niche plays. Traders appear to be pricing in high uncertainty around critical reception, distribution deals, and eventual Academy shortlist dynamics rather than any confirmed campaign narrative. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Tutu 42.5%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 22%
American Doctor 15%
Nuisance Bear 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mars 2027
Tutu
43%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
22%
American Doctor
15%
Nuisance Bear
12%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
7%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Tutu 42.5%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 22%
American Doctor 15%
Nuisance Bear 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mars 2027
Tutu
$5 Vol.
43%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$27 Vol.
22%
American Doctor
$5 Vol.
15%
Nuisance Bear
$5 Vol.
12%
One in a Million
$5 Vol.
7%
Musk
$0 Vol.
7%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$45 Vol.
4%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Documentary Feature market shows a wide-open field early in the 2026 cycle, with dozens of options trading at 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner. This reflects limited releases, absent precursor buzz, and the long timeline before guild screenings or festival momentum typically emerge. Among named contenders, Tutu holds the clearest edge at 43.6%, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem (21.5%), American Doctor (14.5%), and Nuisance Bear (11.5%) trail as early niche plays. Traders appear to be pricing in high uncertainty around critical reception, distribution deals, and eventual Academy shortlist dynamics rather than any confirmed campaign narrative. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$92Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Documentary Feature market shows a wide-open field early in the 2026 cycle, with dozens of options trading at 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner. This reflects limited releases, absent precursor buzz, and the long timeline before guild screenings or festival momentum typically emerge. Among named contenders, Tutu holds the clearest edge at 43.6%, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem (21.5%), American Doctor (14.5%), and Nuisance Bear (11.5%) trail as early niche plays. Traders appear to be pricing in high uncertainty around critical reception, distribution deals, and eventual Academy shortlist dynamics rather than any confirmed campaign narrative. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$92Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Oscars 2027 Best Documentary Feature market shows a wide-open field early in the 2026 cycle, with dozens of options trading at 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner. This reflects limited releases, absent precursor buzz, and the long timeline before guild screenings or festival momentum typically emerge. Among named contenders, Tutu holds the clearest edge at 43.6%, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem (21.5%), American Doctor (14.5%), and Nuisance Bear (11.5%) trail as early niche plays. Traders appear to be pricing in high uncertainty around critical reception, distribution deals, and eventual Academy shortlist dynamics rather than any confirmed campaign narrative. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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