Wild Horse Nine holds the strongest early position in the Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven awards track record and a high-profile cast including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, with the November 2026 release generating significant industry anticipation. Fjord follows at a distance after its Palme d’Or win and strong Cannes reception under Cristian Mungiu, while Digger, The Debut, and Obsession sit lower amid a fragmented field of upcoming titles. Traders appear to be pricing in McDonagh’s narrative momentum against a broad slate of prestige originals whose festival debuts and critical responses remain pending. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, guild nominations, and how the November slate performs with awards voters once all contenders screen.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 40%
Fjord 8%
Digger 8%
The Invite 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mars 2027
Wild Horse Nine
40%
Fjord
8%
Digger
8%
The Invite
6%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
Obsession
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
The Debut
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
The Black Ball
2%
Wild Horse Nine 40%
Fjord 8%
Digger 8%
The Invite 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mars 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$640 Vol.
40%
Fjord
$43 Vol.
8%
Digger
$259 Vol.
8%
The Invite
$36 Vol.
6%
The Drama
$36 Vol.
6%
Josephine
$56 Vol.
6%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 Vol.
5%
Obsession
$36 Vol.
5%
A Place in Hell
$56 Vol.
4%
The Odyssey
$56 Vol.
3%
Club Kid
$36 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$36 Vol.
3%
Fatherland
$36 Vol.
2%
The Debut
$44 Vol.
2%
Forgotten Island
$36 Vol.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$44 Vol.
2%
The Black Ball
$36 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine holds the strongest early position in the Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven awards track record and a high-profile cast including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, with the November 2026 release generating significant industry anticipation. Fjord follows at a distance after its Palme d’Or win and strong Cannes reception under Cristian Mungiu, while Digger, The Debut, and Obsession sit lower amid a fragmented field of upcoming titles. Traders appear to be pricing in McDonagh’s narrative momentum against a broad slate of prestige originals whose festival debuts and critical responses remain pending. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, guild nominations, and how the November slate performs with awards voters once all contenders screen.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$1,536Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine holds the strongest early position in the Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven awards track record and a high-profile cast including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, with the November 2026 release generating significant industry anticipation. Fjord follows at a distance after its Palme d’Or win and strong Cannes reception under Cristian Mungiu, while Digger, The Debut, and Obsession sit lower amid a fragmented field of upcoming titles. Traders appear to be pricing in McDonagh’s narrative momentum against a broad slate of prestige originals whose festival debuts and critical responses remain pending. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, guild nominations, and how the November slate performs with awards voters once all contenders screen.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,536Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine holds the strongest early position in the Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven awards track record and a high-profile cast including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, with the November 2026 release generating significant industry anticipation. Fjord follows at a distance after its Palme d’Or win and strong Cannes reception under Cristian Mungiu, while Digger, The Debut, and Obsession sit lower amid a fragmented field of upcoming titles. Traders appear to be pricing in McDonagh’s narrative momentum against a broad slate of prestige originals whose festival debuts and critical responses remain pending. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, guild nominations, and how the November slate performs with awards voters once all contenders screen.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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