Early in the 2026 awards cycle, the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market reflects broad uncertainty, with no dominant frontrunner and a wide field of candidates. Paul Giamatti leads at 32.5% implied probability on the strength of his established awards profile and anticipated projects, while names like John Goodman and Robert Pattinson trail at single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. Trader consensus highlights the category’s historical volatility, where guild nods, festival premieres, and late-year releases often reshape momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival screenings and precursor announcements that could consolidate support among the many longshots currently priced near even odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.4%
Sam Rockwell 6.3%
$10,140 Vol.
$10,140 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
6%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Colman Domingo
7%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.4%
Sam Rockwell 6.3%
$10,140 Vol.
$10,140 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
6%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Colman Domingo
7%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2026 awards cycle, the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market reflects broad uncertainty, with no dominant frontrunner and a wide field of candidates. Paul Giamatti leads at 32.5% implied probability on the strength of his established awards profile and anticipated projects, while names like John Goodman and Robert Pattinson trail at single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. Trader consensus highlights the category’s historical volatility, where guild nods, festival premieres, and late-year releases often reshape momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival screenings and precursor announcements that could consolidate support among the many longshots currently priced near even odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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