Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions like Dhubab during a rapid offensive that also took Mocha and the Hanish Islands. The move gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait’s narrowest point, a key chokepoint for Red Sea shipping and oil routes diverted from the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s limited defensibility against a determined amphibious or aerial operation but highlight Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities. Limited U.S. direct intervention has been reported so far, with Saudi Arabia seeking additional support, while diplomatic channels remain active. No confirmed reversal efforts have altered control in the subsequent ten days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$10,900 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
2%
31 octobre
13%
31 décembre
24%
$10,900 Vol.
30 septembre
$1,730 Vol.
2%
31 octobre
$5,908 Vol.
13%
31 décembre
$3,262 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions like Dhubab during a rapid offensive that also took Mocha and the Hanish Islands. The move gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait’s narrowest point, a key chokepoint for Red Sea shipping and oil routes diverted from the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s limited defensibility against a determined amphibious or aerial operation but highlight Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities. Limited U.S. direct intervention has been reported so far, with Saudi Arabia seeking additional support, while diplomatic channels remain active. No confirmed reversal efforts have altered control in the subsequent ten days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$10,900Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions like Dhubab during a rapid offensive that also took Mocha and the Hanish Islands. The move gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait’s narrowest point, a key chokepoint for Red Sea shipping and oil routes diverted from the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s limited defensibility against a determined amphibious or aerial operation but highlight Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities. Limited U.S. direct intervention has been reported so far, with Saudi Arabia seeking additional support, while diplomatic channels remain active. No confirmed reversal efforts have altered control in the subsequent ten days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,900Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions like Dhubab during a rapid offensive that also took Mocha and the Hanish Islands. The move gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait’s narrowest point, a key chokepoint for Red Sea shipping and oil routes diverted from the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s limited defensibility against a determined amphibious or aerial operation but highlight Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities. Limited U.S. direct intervention has been reported so far, with Saudi Arabia seeking additional support, while diplomatic channels remain active. No confirmed reversal efforts have altered control in the subsequent ten days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes