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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

Marília Arraes 44%

Mendonça Filho 44%

Pasteur Gilvan Costa 44%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marília Arraes 44%

Mendonça Filho 44%

Pasteur Gilvan Costa 44%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pasteur Gilvan Costa

Pasteur Gilvan Costa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$0 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Mailson da Silva Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Mailson da Silva Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

44%
icon for Le Dr Marcelo Queiroga obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

Le Dr Marcelo Queiroga obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

44%
Oui
icon for Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marília Arraes » à 44%, suivi de « Mendonça Filho » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est « Marília Arraes » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mendonça Filho » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.