Rubio leads the Republican VP nominee market at 29.5% due to his Senate tenure, current role as Secretary of State, and broad appeal across establishment and Trump-aligned factions within the party. Thomas Massie sits second at 10.5% on the strength of his fiscal conservatism and non-interventionist record, while J.D. Vance trails at 7.5% amid focus on his presidential prospects. The remaining field stays fragmented, with no candidate above 6%, reflecting the early stage of the cycle and uncertainty over who will head the 2028 ticket. Key differentiators include foreign policy experience, loyalty signals to the MAGA base, and regional or ideological balance that could consolidate support once a presidential frontrunner emerges. Trader consensus prices in these dynamics through real-money positioning well ahead of primaries or convention negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 30%
Thomas Massie 7.9%
J.D. Vance 8%
Rand Paul 6.1%
$33,066 Vol.
$33,066 Vol.
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
4%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
6%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Thomas Massie 7.9%
J.D. Vance 8%
Rand Paul 6.1%
$33,066 Vol.
$33,066 Vol.
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
4%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
6%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rubio leads the Republican VP nominee market at 29.5% due to his Senate tenure, current role as Secretary of State, and broad appeal across establishment and Trump-aligned factions within the party. Thomas Massie sits second at 10.5% on the strength of his fiscal conservatism and non-interventionist record, while J.D. Vance trails at 7.5% amid focus on his presidential prospects. The remaining field stays fragmented, with no candidate above 6%, reflecting the early stage of the cycle and uncertainty over who will head the 2028 ticket. Key differentiators include foreign policy experience, loyalty signals to the MAGA base, and regional or ideological balance that could consolidate support once a presidential frontrunner emerges. Trader consensus prices in these dynamics through real-money positioning well ahead of primaries or convention negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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