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Monde·RBA

Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ?

icon for Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ?
Monde·RBA

Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ?

juin 16

août 11

juin 16

août 11

Aucun changement 86%

Augmentation 18%

Diminution <1%

Polymarket

$25,472 Vol.

Aucun changement 86%

Augmentation 18%

Diminution <1%

Polymarket

$25,472 Vol.

Diminution

$7,827 Vol.

<1%

Aucun changement

$8,800 Vol.

77%

Augmentation

$8,845 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s recent 25-basis-point hike to a 4.35% cash rate at its May 5 meeting has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 15–16 decision, with market-implied odds reflecting broad consensus that policymakers now have scope to assess the transmission of prior tightening amid elevated inflation and Middle East-related energy shocks. Recent communications and the May Statement on Monetary Policy emphasize monitoring inflation trajectories and labor-market conditions before further adjustments, while forecasts assume the cash rate could reach 4.70% by year-end only if data warrant. Upcoming June CPI and employment releases remain key swing factors that could sustain the current pause or reopen the door to additional increases later in 2026.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$25,472
Date de fin
16 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s recent 25-basis-point hike to a 4.35% cash rate at its May 5 meeting has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 15–16 decision, with market-implied odds reflecting broad consensus that policymakers now have scope to assess the transmission of prior tightening amid elevated inflation and Middle East-related energy shocks. Recent communications and the May Statement on Monetary Policy emphasize monitoring inflation trajectories and labor-market conditions before further adjustments, while forecasts assume the cash rate could reach 4.70% by year-end only if data warrant. Upcoming June CPI and employment releases remain key swing factors that could sustain the current pause or reopen the door to additional increases later in 2026.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$25,472
Date de fin
16 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun changement » à 78%, suivi de « Augmentation » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ? » a généré $25.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 19, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ? » est « Aucun changement » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Augmentation » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.