Ongoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations continues to shape trader views, with core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and NATO alignment showing no resolution in recent months. Brief ceasefires for holidays in April and May 2026 broke down amid ongoing strikes, while Ukraine's latest proposals to U.S. mediators in August remain unaddressed as talks stall over the Iran conflict and Russian demands. Recent form indicates persistent battlefield activity and mobilization signals ahead of elections, underscoring limited momentum toward agreement. Head-to-head diplomatic history and current positioning favor extended conflict over swift settlement, aligning with the strong market lean against near-term peace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
9% chance
$599,160 Vol.
$599,160 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
9% chance
$599,160 Vol.
$599,160 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfOngoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations continues to shape trader views, with core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and NATO alignment showing no resolution in recent months. Brief ceasefires for holidays in April and May 2026 broke down amid ongoing strikes, while Ukraine's latest proposals to U.S. mediators in August remain unaddressed as talks stall over the Iran conflict and Russian demands. Recent form indicates persistent battlefield activity and mobilization signals ahead of elections, underscoring limited momentum toward agreement. Head-to-head diplomatic history and current positioning favor extended conflict over swift settlement, aligning with the strong market lean against near-term peace.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Marché ouvert : Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$599,160Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfOngoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations continues to shape trader views, with core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and NATO alignment showing no resolution in recent months. Brief ceasefires for holidays in April and May 2026 broke down amid ongoing strikes, while Ukraine's latest proposals to U.S. mediators in August remain unaddressed as talks stall over the Iran conflict and Russian demands. Recent form indicates persistent battlefield activity and mobilization signals ahead of elections, underscoring limited momentum toward agreement. Head-to-head diplomatic history and current positioning favor extended conflict over swift settlement, aligning with the strong market lean against near-term peace.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$599,160Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations continues to shape trader views, with core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and NATO alignment showing no resolution in recent months. Brief ceasefires for holidays in April and May 2026 broke down amid ongoing strikes, while Ukraine's latest proposals to U.S. mediators in August remain unaddressed as talks stall over the Iran conflict and Russian demands. Recent form indicates persistent battlefield activity and mobilization signals ahead of elections, underscoring limited momentum toward agreement. Head-to-head diplomatic history and current positioning favor extended conflict over swift settlement, aligning with the strong market lean against near-term peace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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