**The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times—including April 2025 and February 2026—but has repeatedly stalled in the Senate.** Senate rules require 60 votes to invoke cloture and overcome a filibuster. With Republicans holding a narrow majority (around 53 seats), the bill has lacked the bipartisan support needed, as most Democrats oppose the measure and at least some Republicans have expressed procedural or implementation concerns. Recent House efforts to attach related provisions to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or budget reconciliation packages have not cleared the Senate, and scaled-back incentive-based alternatives remain under discussion without final action as of mid-August 2026. Traders assign the bill only a low implied probability of enactment this year because these structural and partisan barriers have proven durable despite repeated House action. Resolution would require either Senate passage followed by presidential signature or a successful procedural workaround before the end of the calendar year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
Oui
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times—including April 2025 and February 2026—but has repeatedly stalled in the Senate.** Senate rules require 60 votes to invoke cloture and overcome a filibuster. With Republicans holding a narrow majority (around 53 seats), the bill has lacked the bipartisan support needed, as most Democrats oppose the measure and at least some Republicans have expressed procedural or implementation concerns. Recent House efforts to attach related provisions to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or budget reconciliation packages have not cleared the Senate, and scaled-back incentive-based alternatives remain under discussion without final action as of mid-August 2026. Traders assign the bill only a low implied probability of enactment this year because these structural and partisan barriers have proven durable despite repeated House action. Resolution would require either Senate passage followed by presidential signature or a successful procedural workaround before the end of the calendar year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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