South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+7 partisan lean, where incumbent Joe Wilson secured renomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challengers. This outcome reinforces trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November general election. Democratic candidates, including those advancing to a runoff, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Markets on specific contenders or "other" options reflect uncertainty over the final Democratic nominee and any minor-party or independent entries, while the low Democratic probability aligns with historical voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the district's electorate. Upcoming general election developments could still influence final positioning, though no major catalysts have emerged since the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$34,852 Vol.
$34,852 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
86%
Parti démocrate
15%
$34,852 Vol.
$34,852 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$12,205 Vol.
86%
Parti démocrate
$22,646 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+7 partisan lean, where incumbent Joe Wilson secured renomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challengers. This outcome reinforces trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November general election. Democratic candidates, including those advancing to a runoff, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Markets on specific contenders or "other" options reflect uncertainty over the final Democratic nominee and any minor-party or independent entries, while the low Democratic probability aligns with historical voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the district's electorate. Upcoming general election developments could still influence final positioning, though no major catalysts have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$34,852Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+7 partisan lean, where incumbent Joe Wilson secured renomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challengers. This outcome reinforces trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November general election. Democratic candidates, including those advancing to a runoff, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Markets on specific contenders or "other" options reflect uncertainty over the final Democratic nominee and any minor-party or independent entries, while the low Democratic probability aligns with historical voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the district's electorate. Upcoming general election developments could still influence final positioning, though no major catalysts have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,852Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+7 partisan lean, where incumbent Joe Wilson secured renomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challengers. This outcome reinforces trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November general election. Democratic candidates, including those advancing to a runoff, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Markets on specific contenders or "other" options reflect uncertainty over the final Democratic nominee and any minor-party or independent entries, while the low Democratic probability aligns with historical voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the district's electorate. Upcoming general election developments could still influence final positioning, though no major catalysts have emerged since the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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