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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell

Janet Gatehouse 51%

Kristian Horvath 8%

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Janet Gatehouse 51%

Kristian Horvath 8%

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Janet Gatehouse

Janet Gatehouse

$713 Vol.

60%

icon for Kristian Horvath

Kristian Horvath

$372 Vol.

8%

icon for Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux

$246 Vol.

6%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Sorell mayoral election due to her incumbency as mayor since the 2024 by-election and prior service as councillor. Multiple candidates, including Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux, keep probabilities closely matched around even-money levels for most contenders, reflecting a fragmented field typical of Tasmanian local government contests. Recent council activities on planning, community infrastructure, and regional growth have reinforced Gatehouse's profile without major shifts in public positioning. The September 2026 ordinary election timeline, including the just-concluded nomination window and upcoming preference distributions under Tasmania's voting system, could widen gaps if endorsements, turnout patterns in key localities, or late campaign developments favor established figures over challengers.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,064
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Sorell mayoral election due to her incumbency as mayor since the 2024 by-election and prior service as councillor. Multiple candidates, including Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux, keep probabilities closely matched around even-money levels for most contenders, reflecting a fragmented field typical of Tasmanian local government contests. Recent council activities on planning, community infrastructure, and regional growth have reinforced Gatehouse's profile without major shifts in public positioning. The September 2026 ordinary election timeline, including the just-concluded nomination window and upcoming preference distributions under Tasmania's voting system, could widen gaps if endorsements, turnout patterns in key localities, or late campaign developments favor established figures over challengers.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,064
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Connexes

icon for Teeny Brumby remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Burnie ?

Teeny Brumby remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Burnie ?

56%
Oui
icon for Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

61%
Oui
icon for Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Janet Gatehouse » à 60%, suivi de « Kristian Horvath » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 60¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » est « Janet Gatehouse » à 60%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kristian Horvath » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.