South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle en Afrique du Sud 2026
Inflation annuelle en Afrique du Sud 2026
2,9-3,2 % 40.3%
<2,6 % 39.1%
4,4-4,7 % 10.7%
3,5-3,8 % 7.1%
$21,308 Vol.
$21,308 Vol.
20 janv. 2027
<2,6 %
39%
2,6-2,9 %
40%
2,9-3,2 %
40%
3,2-3,5 %
27%
3,5-3,8 %
22%
3,8-4,1 %
34%
4,1-4,4 %
38%
4,4-4,7 %
11%
4,7-5,0 %
22%
>5,0 %
41%
2,9-3,2 % 40.3%
<2,6 % 39.1%
4,4-4,7 % 10.7%
3,5-3,8 % 7.1%
$21,308 Vol.
$21,308 Vol.
20 janv. 2027
<2,6 %
$260 Vol.
39%
2,6-2,9 %
$275 Vol.
40%
2,9-3,2 %
$362 Vol.
40%
3,2-3,5 %
$363 Vol.
27%
3,5-3,8 %
$465 Vol.
22%
3,8-4,1 %
$655 Vol.
34%
4,1-4,4 %
$532 Vol.
38%
4,4-4,7 %
$12,089 Vol.
11%
4,7-5,0 %
$366 Vol.
22%
>5,0 %
$5,941 Vol.
41%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Marché ouvert : Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$21,308Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$21,308Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes