Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility, with the headline rate accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026—its highest level since mid-2024—driven primarily by a sharp rise in transportation costs tied to elevated global fuel prices. The South African Reserve Bank’s May 2026 forecast projects average headline inflation of 4.4% for the year, with core measures also elevated near 4.1%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy-related pressures will persist or moderate toward the 3% target amid still-soft domestic demand and potential policy easing. Upcoming July data and further SARB communications remain key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle en Afrique du Sud 2026
Inflation annuelle en Afrique du Sud 2026
4,1-4,4 % 29.6%
4,4-4,7 % 22.1%
3,8-4,1 % 13.7%
>5,0 % 8.9%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
19 janv. 2027
<2,6 %
<1%
2,6-2,9 %
<1%
2,9-3,2 %
4%
3,2-3,5 %
3%
3,5-3,8 %
4%
3,8-4,1 %
14%
4,1-4,4 %
30%
4,4-4,7 %
22%
4,7-5,0 %
8%
>5,0 %
9%
4,1-4,4 % 29.6%
4,4-4,7 % 22.1%
3,8-4,1 % 13.7%
>5,0 % 8.9%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
19 janv. 2027
<2,6 %
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2,6-2,9 %
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2,9-3,2 %
$1,564 Vol.
4%
3,2-3,5 %
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3,5-3,8 %
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3,8-4,1 %
$3,106 Vol.
14%
4,1-4,4 %
$2,590 Vol.
30%
4,4-4,7 %
$14,940 Vol.
22%
4,7-5,0 %
$3,372 Vol.
8%
>5,0 %
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility, with the headline rate accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026—its highest level since mid-2024—driven primarily by a sharp rise in transportation costs tied to elevated global fuel prices. The South African Reserve Bank’s May 2026 forecast projects average headline inflation of 4.4% for the year, with core measures also elevated near 4.1%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy-related pressures will persist or moderate toward the 3% target amid still-soft domestic demand and potential policy easing. Upcoming July data and further SARB communications remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Marché ouvert : Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$39,925Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility, with the headline rate accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026—its highest level since mid-2024—driven primarily by a sharp rise in transportation costs tied to elevated global fuel prices. The South African Reserve Bank’s May 2026 forecast projects average headline inflation of 4.4% for the year, with core measures also elevated near 4.1%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy-related pressures will persist or moderate toward the 3% target amid still-soft domestic demand and potential policy easing. Upcoming July data and further SARB communications remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$39,925Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility, with the headline rate accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026—its highest level since mid-2024—driven primarily by a sharp rise in transportation costs tied to elevated global fuel prices. The South African Reserve Bank’s May 2026 forecast projects average headline inflation of 4.4% for the year, with core measures also elevated near 4.1%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy-related pressures will persist or moderate toward the 3% target amid still-soft domestic demand and potential policy easing. Upcoming July data and further SARB communications remain key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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