South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in statewide elections, including consistent GOP control of the governorship since 2003, underpins trader consensus favoring Alan Wilson as the heavy favorite in the November 3, 2026, open-seat race. Wilson, the sitting attorney general, secured the Republican nomination with a decisive June runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support ahead of the general election against Democratic state Rep. Jermaine Johnson. Recent polling and forecasting models reflect this structural advantage, with Wilson maintaining double-digit leads in available surveys. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited but include major late-campaign developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Caroline du Sud
$17,292 Vol.
$17,292 Vol.

Alan Wilson (R)
94%

Jermaine Johnson (D)
6%
$17,292 Vol.
$17,292 Vol.

Alan Wilson (R)
94%

Jermaine Johnson (D)
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in statewide elections, including consistent GOP control of the governorship since 2003, underpins trader consensus favoring Alan Wilson as the heavy favorite in the November 3, 2026, open-seat race. Wilson, the sitting attorney general, secured the Republican nomination with a decisive June runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support ahead of the general election against Democratic state Rep. Jermaine Johnson. Recent polling and forecasting models reflect this structural advantage, with Wilson maintaining double-digit leads in available surveys. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited but include major late-campaign developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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