The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$374,435 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9 300 $
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ 8 600 $
9%
↑ 8 200 $
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
51%
↓ $7,200
35%
↓ $7,000
24%
↓ 6 200 $
11%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ 5 800 $
7%
↓ 5 200 $
3%
↓ 4 500 $
3%
$374,435 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ 9 300 $
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ 8 600 $
$32,228 Vol.
9%
↑ 8 200 $
$23,958 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
51%
↓ $7,200
$554 Vol.
35%
↓ $7,000
$2,449 Vol.
24%
↓ 6 200 $
$61,313 Vol.
11%
↓ $6,000
$4,991 Vol.
7%
↓ 5 800 $
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ 5 200 $
$70,300 Vol.
3%
↓ 4 500 $
$62,708 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$374,435Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$374,435Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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