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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan

Chen Ting-fei 92%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 7%

Lin Yi-feng 1.9%

Lin Chun-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Chen Ting-fei 92%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 7%

Lin Yi-feng 1.9%

Lin Chun-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Chen Ting-fei

Chen Ting-fei

$2,400 Vol.

92%

icon for Hsieh Lung-chieh

Hsieh Lung-chieh

$441 Vol.

7%

icon for Lin Yi-feng

Lin Yi-feng

$176 Vol.

2%

icon for Lin Chun-hsien

Lin Chun-hsien

$157 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, reflecting her decisive primary victory in January 2026 over fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien and the party's longstanding advantage in this DPP-leaning special municipality. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, traders appear to weigh her legislative experience, name recognition from prior local campaigns, and the structural edge of succeeding incumbent Huang Wei-che against Kuomintang challenger Hsieh Lung-chieh, who has trailed in available polling. Recent surveys from early 2026 showed Chen ahead by margins of roughly 5–20 points, underscoring consistent preference among likely voters. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout, national political developments, or late-campaign dynamics, though no major disruptions have emerged to date.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,174
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, reflecting her decisive primary victory in January 2026 over fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien and the party's longstanding advantage in this DPP-leaning special municipality. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, traders appear to weigh her legislative experience, name recognition from prior local campaigns, and the structural edge of succeeding incumbent Huang Wei-che against Kuomintang challenger Hsieh Lung-chieh, who has trailed in available polling. Recent surveys from early 2026 showed Chen ahead by margins of roughly 5–20 points, underscoring consistent preference among likely voters. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout, national political developments, or late-campaign dynamics, though no major disruptions have emerged to date.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,174
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chen Ting-fei » à 92%, suivi de « Hsieh Lung-chieh » à 7%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » est « Chen Ting-fei » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Hsieh Lung-chieh » à 7%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.