Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council Speaker, leads the magistrate race with an 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and her established local networks ahead of the November 28 vote. The DPP’s Chen Ying trails at 17.9%, while independent Li Wu Ying-chih sits near 1%. A late-October corruption investigation into her brother, former magistrate Wu Chun-li, over alleged misuse of public funds for a family-linked road project prompted searches of campaign offices and bail proceedings, yet trader consensus has shown limited movement, consistent with historical KMT resilience in eastern Taiwan counties. Multiple other registered candidates, including Wang Zhi-wei, remain at negligible levels. The market will resolve based on official Central Election Commission results.