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Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.0%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.0%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$2,769 Vol.

89%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$1,374 Vol.

2%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang maintains a dominant position in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. The city’s large Hakka population and historical preference for KMT candidates have reinforced his standing as the sitting mayor since 2022, with recent polling showing clear leads over challengers. The Democratic Progressive Party formalized Huang Shih-chieh as its nominee in April 2026, yet the selection has not narrowed the gap in surveys. KMT party events in July 2026 highlighted Chang among re-election seekers, while limited movement in other candidate odds reflects low expectations for viable alternatives. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors, though the multi-month timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,319
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang maintains a dominant position in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. The city’s large Hakka population and historical preference for KMT candidates have reinforced his standing as the sitting mayor since 2022, with recent polling showing clear leads over challengers. The Democratic Progressive Party formalized Huang Shih-chieh as its nominee in April 2026, yet the selection has not narrowed the gap in surveys. KMT party events in July 2026 highlighted Chang among re-election seekers, while limited movement in other candidate odds reflects low expectations for viable alternatives. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors, though the multi-month timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,319
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

92%
Oui
icon for Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

78%
Oui
icon for Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

87%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chang San-cheng » à 89%, suivi de « Huang Shih-chieh » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 89¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan » est « Chang San-cheng » à 89%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Huang Shih-chieh » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taoyuan » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.