Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited, leaving an open seat whose Republican primary on August 6 features U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn holding a lead in most recent polling over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, though some surveys show the contest tightening. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide infrastructure. Historical patterns in the state, where Republicans have won every gubernatorial race since 2010 by double-digit margins, reinforce trader consensus that the general election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt change in national political conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Tennessee
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Tennessee
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
91%
Démocrate
5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$4,124 Vol.
91%
Démocrate
$2,128 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited, leaving an open seat whose Republican primary on August 6 features U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn holding a lead in most recent polling over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, though some surveys show the contest tightening. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide infrastructure. Historical patterns in the state, where Republicans have won every gubernatorial race since 2010 by double-digit margins, reinforce trader consensus that the general election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt change in national political conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$6,252Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited, leaving an open seat whose Republican primary on August 6 features U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn holding a lead in most recent polling over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, though some surveys show the contest tightening. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide infrastructure. Historical patterns in the state, where Republicans have won every gubernatorial race since 2010 by double-digit margins, reinforce trader consensus that the general election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt change in national political conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$6,252Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited, leaving an open seat whose Republican primary on August 6 features U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn holding a lead in most recent polling over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, though some surveys show the contest tightening. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide infrastructure. Historical patterns in the state, where Republicans have won every gubernatorial race since 2010 by double-digit margins, reinforce trader consensus that the general election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt change in national political conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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