Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with the state's recent electoral margins exceeding 25 points for GOP candidates, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Bradshaw's primary win sets up a rematch of the 2020 contest, but no recent polling or developments indicate meaningful shifts in the race dynamics. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle changes, such as major scandals, sharp national partisan swings, or unusually low Republican turnout in the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$24,670 Vol.
$24,670 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
96%
Démocrate
2%
$24,670 Vol.
$24,670 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$14,806 Vol.
96%
Démocrate
$9,864 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with the state's recent electoral margins exceeding 25 points for GOP candidates, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Bradshaw's primary win sets up a rematch of the 2020 contest, but no recent polling or developments indicate meaningful shifts in the race dynamics. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle changes, such as major scandals, sharp national partisan swings, or unusually low Republican turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,670Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with the state's recent electoral margins exceeding 25 points for GOP candidates, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Bradshaw's primary win sets up a rematch of the 2020 contest, but no recent polling or developments indicate meaningful shifts in the race dynamics. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle changes, such as major scandals, sharp national partisan swings, or unusually low Republican turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,670Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with the state's recent electoral margins exceeding 25 points for GOP candidates, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Bradshaw's primary win sets up a rematch of the 2020 contest, but no recent polling or developments indicate meaningful shifts in the race dynamics. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle changes, such as major scandals, sharp national partisan swings, or unusually low Republican turnout in the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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