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Politique·élection

Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo

icon for Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo
Politique·élection

Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo

Réps gagnent Gouv, Dems gagnent Sénat 40%

Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 38%

Victoire totale des Républicains 36%

Victoire totale des démocrates 34%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Réps gagnent Gouv, Dems gagnent Sénat 40%

Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 38%

Victoire totale des Républicains 36%

Victoire totale des démocrates 34%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Victoire totale des démocrates

$0 Vol.

34%

Victoire totale des Républicains

$0 Vol.

36%

Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat

$0 Vol.

38%

Réps gagnent Gouv, Dems gagnent Sénat

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate contest between Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico remaining exceptionally close, with late-July and early-August surveys placing the candidates within a few points or showing slight edges for Talarico among likely voters. This tightness, driven by Talarico’s strength with independents and moderates alongside Paxton’s post-primary consolidation challenges, keeps multiple outcome combinations viable in the combo market. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott maintains a steadier lead over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, yet the Senate race’s competitiveness sustains balanced probabilities across Republican and Democratic sweeps as well as split results. Upcoming fall campaign events and additional polling releases could shift trader consensus on turnout and partisan cohesion before November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate contest between Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico remaining exceptionally close, with late-July and early-August surveys placing the candidates within a few points or showing slight edges for Talarico among likely voters. This tightness, driven by Talarico’s strength with independents and moderates alongside Paxton’s post-primary consolidation challenges, keeps multiple outcome combinations viable in the combo market. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott maintains a steadier lead over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, yet the Senate race’s competitiveness sustains balanced probabilities across Republican and Democratic sweeps as well as split results. Upcoming fall campaign events and additional polling releases could shift trader consensus on turnout and partisan cohesion before November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Connexes

icon for Les Républicains vont-ils gagner la course au poste de gouverneur du Texas en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils gagner la course au poste de gouverneur du Texas en 2026 ?

86%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils remporter l'élection sénatoriale du Texas en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils remporter l'élection sénatoriale du Texas en 2026 ?

51%
Oui
icon for Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

39%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Réps gagnent Gouv, Dems gagnent Sénat » à 40%, suivi de « Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 7, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo » est « Réps gagnent Gouv, Dems gagnent Sénat » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Sénat du Texas et gouverneur Combo » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.