The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$48,044 Vol.
$48,044 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$48,044 Vol.
$48,044 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$23,677 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$24,367 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$48,044Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,044Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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