Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting that shifted its partisan balance, resulting in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin of 21 points in the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, creating an open seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor and Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as nominees following the August 6, 2026, primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid R, reflecting the structural advantages for Republicans in this Memphis-based district that now extends into more suburban and Republican-leaning areas. Trader consensus prices reflect these district fundamentals, primary outcomes, and limited remaining time before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
16%
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$19,961 Vol.
84%
Parti démocrate
$13,214 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting that shifted its partisan balance, resulting in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin of 21 points in the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, creating an open seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor and Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as nominees following the August 6, 2026, primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid R, reflecting the structural advantages for Republicans in this Memphis-based district that now extends into more suburban and Republican-leaning areas. Trader consensus prices reflect these district fundamentals, primary outcomes, and limited remaining time before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,175Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting that shifted its partisan balance, resulting in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin of 21 points in the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, creating an open seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor and Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as nominees following the August 6, 2026, primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid R, reflecting the structural advantages for Republicans in this Memphis-based district that now extends into more suburban and Republican-leaning areas. Trader consensus prices reflect these district fundamentals, primary outcomes, and limited remaining time before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,175Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent significant redistricting that shifted its partisan balance, resulting in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin of 21 points in the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, creating an open seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor and Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as nominees following the August 6, 2026, primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid R, reflecting the structural advantages for Republicans in this Memphis-based district that now extends into more suburban and Republican-leaning areas. Trader consensus prices reflect these district fundamentals, primary outcomes, and limited remaining time before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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