Trump has signaled strong opposition to restrictive AI measures, emphasizing innovation, U.S. leadership over China, and voluntary security frameworks rather than mandates. In June 2026, he signed Executive Order 14409, which promotes advanced AI innovation and security through a voluntary 30-day government review process for frontier models, an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directives to harden federal systems—while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. As of mid-September 2026, Trump announced plans for an “AI Force” and AI “Czar” to monitor development without slowing growth, rejecting industry calls for pauses or limits and describing safety concerns as a hoax best addressed through existing criminal justice channels. These positions, alongside upcoming cabinet-level announcements and diplomatic engagements, shape trader assessments of any near-term restrictions-focused executive order.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
4%
31 octobre
16%
31 décembre
15%
$1,317 Vol.
30 septembre
$850 Vol.
4%
31 octobre
$245 Vol.
16%
31 décembre
$222 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump has signaled strong opposition to restrictive AI measures, emphasizing innovation, U.S. leadership over China, and voluntary security frameworks rather than mandates. In June 2026, he signed Executive Order 14409, which promotes advanced AI innovation and security through a voluntary 30-day government review process for frontier models, an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directives to harden federal systems—while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. As of mid-September 2026, Trump announced plans for an “AI Force” and AI “Czar” to monitor development without slowing growth, rejecting industry calls for pauses or limits and describing safety concerns as a hoax best addressed through existing criminal justice channels. These positions, alongside upcoming cabinet-level announcements and diplomatic engagements, shape trader assessments of any near-term restrictions-focused executive order.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,317Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump has signaled strong opposition to restrictive AI measures, emphasizing innovation, U.S. leadership over China, and voluntary security frameworks rather than mandates. In June 2026, he signed Executive Order 14409, which promotes advanced AI innovation and security through a voluntary 30-day government review process for frontier models, an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directives to harden federal systems—while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. As of mid-September 2026, Trump announced plans for an “AI Force” and AI “Czar” to monitor development without slowing growth, rejecting industry calls for pauses or limits and describing safety concerns as a hoax best addressed through existing criminal justice channels. These positions, alongside upcoming cabinet-level announcements and diplomatic engagements, shape trader assessments of any near-term restrictions-focused executive order.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,317Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Trump has signaled strong opposition to restrictive AI measures, emphasizing innovation, U.S. leadership over China, and voluntary security frameworks rather than mandates. In June 2026, he signed Executive Order 14409, which promotes advanced AI innovation and security through a voluntary 30-day government review process for frontier models, an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directives to harden federal systems—while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. As of mid-September 2026, Trump announced plans for an “AI Force” and AI “Czar” to monitor development without slowing growth, rejecting industry calls for pauses or limits and describing safety concerns as a hoax best addressed through existing criminal justice channels. These positions, alongside upcoming cabinet-level announcements and diplomatic engagements, shape trader assessments of any near-term restrictions-focused executive order.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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