Republican Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in the TX-12 race, reflected in the market's 90.5% Republican consensus. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent conservative margins in recent statewide and presidential contests anchor trader expectations. Goldman advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary as the incumbent, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. A substantial national midterm shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout changes in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, or late personal developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-12
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-12
$29,865 Vol.
$29,865 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$29,865 Vol.
$29,865 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$15,314 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$14,551 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in the TX-12 race, reflected in the market's 90.5% Republican consensus. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent conservative margins in recent statewide and presidential contests anchor trader expectations. Goldman advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary as the incumbent, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. A substantial national midterm shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout changes in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, or late personal developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$29,865Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in the TX-12 race, reflected in the market's 90.5% Republican consensus. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent conservative margins in recent statewide and presidential contests anchor trader expectations. Goldman advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary as the incumbent, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. A substantial national midterm shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout changes in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, or late personal developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,865Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in the TX-12 race, reflected in the market's 90.5% Republican consensus. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent conservative margins in recent statewide and presidential contests anchor trader expectations. Goldman advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary as the incumbent, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. A substantial national midterm shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout changes in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, or late personal developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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