Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
86%
Parti démocrate
12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$2,409 Vol.
86%
Parti démocrate
$2,669 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$5,079Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,079Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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