The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-38
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-38
$25,737 Vol.
$25,737 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
8%
$25,737 Vol.
$25,737 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$16,756 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$8,980 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$25,737Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,737Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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