Recent local election losses in May 2026 triggered Keir Starmer’s June resignation and Andy Burnham’s elevation as Labour prime minister, amid polling that now places the party near 22% support with Reform UK close behind. Under fixed-term rules, the next general election need not occur until August 2029, yet the prime minister holds discretion to dissolve Parliament sooner, prompting ongoing trader focus on whether poor approval ratings and internal pressure will accelerate a snap contest. Recent by-election results and Reform’s rising momentum add volatility, while the absence of an imminent economic or parliamentary crisis currently favors a 2027 timeline over an immediate call.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ?
Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ?
$818,643 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
December 31, 2026
15%
June 30, 2027
39%
$818,643 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$23,596 Vol.
15%
June 30, 2027
$3,899 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent local election losses in May 2026 triggered Keir Starmer’s June resignation and Andy Burnham’s elevation as Labour prime minister, amid polling that now places the party near 22% support with Reform UK close behind. Under fixed-term rules, the next general election need not occur until August 2029, yet the prime minister holds discretion to dissolve Parliament sooner, prompting ongoing trader focus on whether poor approval ratings and internal pressure will accelerate a snap contest. Recent by-election results and Reform’s rising momentum add volatility, while the absence of an imminent economic or parliamentary crisis currently favors a 2027 timeline over an immediate call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$818,643Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent local election losses in May 2026 triggered Keir Starmer’s June resignation and Andy Burnham’s elevation as Labour prime minister, amid polling that now places the party near 22% support with Reform UK close behind. Under fixed-term rules, the next general election need not occur until August 2029, yet the prime minister holds discretion to dissolve Parliament sooner, prompting ongoing trader focus on whether poor approval ratings and internal pressure will accelerate a snap contest. Recent by-election results and Reform’s rising momentum add volatility, while the absence of an imminent economic or parliamentary crisis currently favors a 2027 timeline over an immediate call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$818,643Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent local election losses in May 2026 triggered Keir Starmer’s June resignation and Andy Burnham’s elevation as Labour prime minister, amid polling that now places the party near 22% support with Reform UK close behind. Under fixed-term rules, the next general election need not occur until August 2029, yet the prime minister holds discretion to dissolve Parliament sooner, prompting ongoing trader focus on whether poor approval ratings and internal pressure will accelerate a snap contest. Recent by-election results and Reform’s rising momentum add volatility, while the absence of an imminent economic or parliamentary crisis currently favors a 2027 timeline over an immediate call.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Y aura-t-il exactement 6 élections partielles parlementaires au Royaume-Uni en 2026 ?
40%
Oui
La prochaine élection partielle du parlement britannique sera-t-elle organisée avant le 31 décembre ?
62%
Oui
Le nombre de votes exprimés lors de l'élection partielle de Clacton en 2026 sera-t-il compris entre 20 000 et 30 000 ?
74%
Oui
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