Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance of US federal charges against former Cuban leader Raúl Castro at 61.5% Yes, driven by Department of Justice officials' statements late May 14 confirming plans to seek an indictment over his alleged role in the 1996 Cuban military shootdown of two Brothers to the Rescue civilian planes, killing four exiles. This follows February calls from Florida Republican lawmakers like Reps. Salazar and Díaz-Balart urging DOJ action ahead of the incident's 30th anniversary. While no grand jury indictment has been unsealed, the public signaling amid heightened US-Cuba tensions—including recent CIA Director Ratcliffe's Havana visit—has shifted odds upward, though approval timelines and Castro's age introduce uncertainty for traders weighing enforcement feasibility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe gouvernement fédéral américain accuse l'ancien dirigeant cubain Raul Castro ?
Le gouvernement fédéral américain accuse l'ancien dirigeant cubain Raul Castro ?
Oui
$93,292 Vol.
$93,292 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$93,292 Vol.
$93,292 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance of US federal charges against former Cuban leader Raúl Castro at 61.5% Yes, driven by Department of Justice officials' statements late May 14 confirming plans to seek an indictment over his alleged role in the 1996 Cuban military shootdown of two Brothers to the Rescue civilian planes, killing four exiles. This follows February calls from Florida Republican lawmakers like Reps. Salazar and Díaz-Balart urging DOJ action ahead of the incident's 30th anniversary. While no grand jury indictment has been unsealed, the public signaling amid heightened US-Cuba tensions—including recent CIA Director Ratcliffe's Havana visit—has shifted odds upward, though approval timelines and Castro's age introduce uncertainty for traders weighing enforcement feasibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$93,292Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance of US federal charges against former Cuban leader Raúl Castro at 61.5% Yes, driven by Department of Justice officials' statements late May 14 confirming plans to seek an indictment over his alleged role in the 1996 Cuban military shootdown of two Brothers to the Rescue civilian planes, killing four exiles. This follows February calls from Florida Republican lawmakers like Reps. Salazar and Díaz-Balart urging DOJ action ahead of the incident's 30th anniversary. While no grand jury indictment has been unsealed, the public signaling amid heightened US-Cuba tensions—including recent CIA Director Ratcliffe's Havana visit—has shifted odds upward, though approval timelines and Castro's age introduce uncertainty for traders weighing enforcement feasibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,294Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance of US federal charges against former Cuban leader Raúl Castro at 61.5% Yes, driven by Department of Justice officials' statements late May 14 confirming plans to seek an indictment over his alleged role in the 1996 Cuban military shootdown of two Brothers to the Rescue civilian planes, killing four exiles. This follows February calls from Florida Republican lawmakers like Reps. Salazar and Díaz-Balart urging DOJ action ahead of the incident's 30th anniversary. While no grand jury indictment has been unsealed, the public signaling amid heightened US-Cuba tensions—including recent CIA Director Ratcliffe's Havana visit—has shifted odds upward, though approval timelines and Castro's age introduce uncertainty for traders weighing enforcement feasibility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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