Trump’s second-term “maximum pressure” approach, including re-designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism, reactivation of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, and a January 2026 executive order imposing tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, has created an energy blockade and acute fuel shortages that intensified Cuba’s economic crisis. These steps followed brief Biden-era easing and responded to Havana’s ties to Venezuela and other actors. Cuban officials confirmed negotiations in March 2026, coinciding with prisoner releases and reports of possible sanctions relief on travel, ports, energy, and tourism in exchange for reforms. Trader consensus reflects ongoing sanctions, the absence of a publicly announced agreement, and uncertainty over whether Cuba will meet U.S. demands for economic liberalization before any resolution date. Further diplomatic contacts or policy adjustments could still shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$432,060 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
December 31
26%
$432,060 Vol.
December 31
$20,188 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trump’s second-term “maximum pressure” approach, including re-designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism, reactivation of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, and a January 2026 executive order imposing tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, has created an energy blockade and acute fuel shortages that intensified Cuba’s economic crisis. These steps followed brief Biden-era easing and responded to Havana’s ties to Venezuela and other actors. Cuban officials confirmed negotiations in March 2026, coinciding with prisoner releases and reports of possible sanctions relief on travel, ports, energy, and tourism in exchange for reforms. Trader consensus reflects ongoing sanctions, the absence of a publicly announced agreement, and uncertainty over whether Cuba will meet U.S. demands for economic liberalization before any resolution date. Further diplomatic contacts or policy adjustments could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volume
$432,060Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trump’s second-term “maximum pressure” approach, including re-designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism, reactivation of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, and a January 2026 executive order imposing tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, has created an energy blockade and acute fuel shortages that intensified Cuba’s economic crisis. These steps followed brief Biden-era easing and responded to Havana’s ties to Venezuela and other actors. Cuban officials confirmed negotiations in March 2026, coinciding with prisoner releases and reports of possible sanctions relief on travel, ports, energy, and tourism in exchange for reforms. Trader consensus reflects ongoing sanctions, the absence of a publicly announced agreement, and uncertainty over whether Cuba will meet U.S. demands for economic liberalization before any resolution date. Further diplomatic contacts or policy adjustments could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$432,060Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second-term “maximum pressure” approach, including re-designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism, reactivation of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, and a January 2026 executive order imposing tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, has created an energy blockade and acute fuel shortages that intensified Cuba’s economic crisis. These steps followed brief Biden-era easing and responded to Havana’s ties to Venezuela and other actors. Cuban officials confirmed negotiations in March 2026, coinciding with prisoner releases and reports of possible sanctions relief on travel, ports, energy, and tourism in exchange for reforms. Trader consensus reflects ongoing sanctions, the absence of a publicly announced agreement, and uncertainty over whether Cuba will meet U.S. demands for economic liberalization before any resolution date. Further diplomatic contacts or policy adjustments could still shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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