Recent U.S. policy has emphasized sanctions pressure over economic engagement with Cuba. In January 2026 the administration declared a national emergency citing threats from the Cuban government, followed by Executive Order 14404 in May that expanded blocking authorities across multiple sectors and enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities. July designations targeted additional regime-linked entities, while earlier April talks on prisoner releases and reforms produced no visible easing of restrictions. These steps align with prior reversals of prior normalization measures and have constrained Cuba’s access to oil imports and financing. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral economic deal therefore focus on whether scheduled diplomatic contacts or congressional action could shift the trajectory before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$432,060 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
December 31
26%
$432,060 Vol.
December 31
$20,188 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S. policy has emphasized sanctions pressure over economic engagement with Cuba. In January 2026 the administration declared a national emergency citing threats from the Cuban government, followed by Executive Order 14404 in May that expanded blocking authorities across multiple sectors and enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities. July designations targeted additional regime-linked entities, while earlier April talks on prisoner releases and reforms produced no visible easing of restrictions. These steps align with prior reversals of prior normalization measures and have constrained Cuba’s access to oil imports and financing. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral economic deal therefore focus on whether scheduled diplomatic contacts or congressional action could shift the trajectory before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volume
$432,060Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S. policy has emphasized sanctions pressure over economic engagement with Cuba. In January 2026 the administration declared a national emergency citing threats from the Cuban government, followed by Executive Order 14404 in May that expanded blocking authorities across multiple sectors and enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities. July designations targeted additional regime-linked entities, while earlier April talks on prisoner releases and reforms produced no visible easing of restrictions. These steps align with prior reversals of prior normalization measures and have constrained Cuba’s access to oil imports and financing. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral economic deal therefore focus on whether scheduled diplomatic contacts or congressional action could shift the trajectory before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$432,060Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. policy has emphasized sanctions pressure over economic engagement with Cuba. In January 2026 the administration declared a national emergency citing threats from the Cuban government, followed by Executive Order 14404 in May that expanded blocking authorities across multiple sectors and enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities. July designations targeted additional regime-linked entities, while earlier April talks on prisoner releases and reforms produced no visible easing of restrictions. These steps align with prior reversals of prior normalization measures and have constrained Cuba’s access to oil imports and financing. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral economic deal therefore focus on whether scheduled diplomatic contacts or congressional action could shift the trajectory before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes