Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, anchored by its D+14 to D+18 partisan lean and long-standing voter coalitions in Hampton Roads and surrounding areas. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Recent attempts at mid-decade redistricting through a voter-approved constitutional amendment were blocked by court order, leaving district boundaries largely unchanged and preserving the seat's structural Democratic advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, with limited scope for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as an incumbent withdrawal or sudden national political realignment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,417 Vol.
$35,417 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$35,417 Vol.
$35,417 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$20,073 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$15,345 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, anchored by its D+14 to D+18 partisan lean and long-standing voter coalitions in Hampton Roads and surrounding areas. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Recent attempts at mid-decade redistricting through a voter-approved constitutional amendment were blocked by court order, leaving district boundaries largely unchanged and preserving the seat's structural Democratic advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, with limited scope for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as an incumbent withdrawal or sudden national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,417Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, anchored by its D+14 to D+18 partisan lean and long-standing voter coalitions in Hampton Roads and surrounding areas. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Recent attempts at mid-decade redistricting through a voter-approved constitutional amendment were blocked by court order, leaving district boundaries largely unchanged and preserving the seat's structural Democratic advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, with limited scope for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as an incumbent withdrawal or sudden national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,417Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, anchored by its D+14 to D+18 partisan lean and long-standing voter coalitions in Hampton Roads and surrounding areas. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Recent attempts at mid-decade redistricting through a voter-approved constitutional amendment were blocked by court order, leaving district boundaries largely unchanged and preserving the seat's structural Democratic advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, with limited scope for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as an incumbent withdrawal or sudden national political realignment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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