Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 24-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline advanced easily from the August 2026 Republican primary and enters the general election against Democrat Beth Macy with substantial name recognition and prior victory margins exceeding 28 points. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cline, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$110,433 Vol.
$110,433 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$110,433 Vol.
$110,433 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$42,438 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$67,994 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 24-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline advanced easily from the August 2026 Republican primary and enters the general election against Democrat Beth Macy with substantial name recognition and prior victory margins exceeding 28 points. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cline, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$110,433Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 24-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline advanced easily from the August 2026 Republican primary and enters the general election against Democrat Beth Macy with substantial name recognition and prior victory margins exceeding 28 points. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cline, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$110,433Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 24-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline advanced easily from the August 2026 Republican primary and enters the general election against Democrat Beth Macy with substantial name recognition and prior victory margins exceeding 28 points. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cline, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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