Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$62,350 Vol.
$62,350 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$62,350 Vol.
$62,350 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$44,712 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$17,638 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$62,350Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$62,350Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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