Virginia's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs, features a partisan voting index that strongly favors the Democratic Party, underpinning the 96.5% market consensus for that outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, providing continuity and established voter recognition. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a district that delivered wide Democratic margins in prior cycles. While a national partisan shift, late-cycle controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap, the combination of district composition, incumbency, and primary dynamics sustains the commanding trader positioning ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre VA-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre VA-11
$28,146 Vol.
$28,146 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
2%
$28,146 Vol.
$28,146 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$16,550 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$11,596 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs, features a partisan voting index that strongly favors the Democratic Party, underpinning the 96.5% market consensus for that outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, providing continuity and established voter recognition. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a district that delivered wide Democratic margins in prior cycles. While a national partisan shift, late-cycle controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap, the combination of district composition, incumbency, and primary dynamics sustains the commanding trader positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,146Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs, features a partisan voting index that strongly favors the Democratic Party, underpinning the 96.5% market consensus for that outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, providing continuity and established voter recognition. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a district that delivered wide Democratic margins in prior cycles. While a national partisan shift, late-cycle controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap, the combination of district composition, incumbency, and primary dynamics sustains the commanding trader positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,146Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs, features a partisan voting index that strongly favors the Democratic Party, underpinning the 96.5% market consensus for that outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, providing continuity and established voter recognition. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a district that delivered wide Democratic margins in prior cycles. While a national partisan shift, late-cycle controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap, the combination of district composition, incumbency, and primary dynamics sustains the commanding trader positioning ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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