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Politique·Venezuela

Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?

icon for Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?
Politique·Venezuela

Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?

$574,584 Vol.

31 mars 2026
Polymarket

$574,584 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$82,381 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Venezuela's interim government, led by acting president Delcy Rodríguez following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, has not scheduled a presidential election despite her 90-day term expiring in late April without renewal or vote. Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, urging swift free and fair elections ahead of her planned year-end return, pressures for National Electoral Council (CNE) restructuring amid U.S. diplomatic demands for economic reforms like oil exports and Russia ties severance. Recent U.S. embassy meetings with interim officials advance Trump's three-phase transition plan, prioritizing stability before polls constitutionally due in 2030 but expected sooner; trader consensus weighs these preconditions against mounting calls for a ballot date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574,584
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Venezuela's interim government, led by acting president Delcy Rodríguez following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, has not scheduled a presidential election despite her 90-day term expiring in late April without renewal or vote. Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, urging swift free and fair elections ahead of her planned year-end return, pressures for National Electoral Council (CNE) restructuring amid U.S. diplomatic demands for economic reforms like oil exports and Russia ties severance. Recent U.S. embassy meetings with interim officials advance Trump's three-phase transition plan, prioritizing stability before polls constitutionally due in 2030 but expected sooner; trader consensus weighs these preconditions against mounting calls for a ballot date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574,584
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 44%, suivi de « 31 janvier » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » a généré $574.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 janvier » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.