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icon for Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?

Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?

icon for Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?

Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ?

$615,200 Vol.

31 mars 2026
Polymarket

$615,200 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$122,998 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Maduro’s January 2026 capture and the installation of interim President Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s presidential election timing hinges on stabilization, institutional reforms, and a negotiated political pact. The National Assembly has deferred voting to focus on security and governance, while opposition figures and U.S. officials cite the need for a reconstituted electoral council, restored political freedoms, and verified voter rolls before credible balloting. Recent earthquakes and ongoing government-opposition talks launched in August 2026 have further extended preparations, with estimates from Machado allies pointing to possible voting no earlier than late 2026 or 2027. Trader sentiment reflects these procedural hurdles and the absence of a firm schedule.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$615,200
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Maduro’s January 2026 capture and the installation of interim President Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s presidential election timing hinges on stabilization, institutional reforms, and a negotiated political pact. The National Assembly has deferred voting to focus on security and governance, while opposition figures and U.S. officials cite the need for a reconstituted electoral council, restored political freedoms, and verified voter rolls before credible balloting. Recent earthquakes and ongoing government-opposition talks launched in August 2026 have further extended preparations, with estimates from Machado allies pointing to possible voting no earlier than late 2026 or 2027. Trader sentiment reflects these procedural hurdles and the absence of a firm schedule.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$615,200
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 17%, suivi de « 31 janvier » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 17¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » a généré $615.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 17%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 janvier » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle vénézuélienne prévue avant le... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.