Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who won the August 4 primary. Warner’s commanding position in trader consensus reflects his strong fundraising edge, established name recognition, and Virginia’s recent pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates, reinforced by limited polling showing double-digit leads earlier in the cycle. The Republican primary field offered no breakout challenger capable of shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment boosting turnout and resources for the challenger in this swing-state environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,427 Vol.
$14,427 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
94%
Républicain
6%
$14,427 Vol.
$14,427 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$8,722 Vol.
94%
Républicain
$5,706 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who won the August 4 primary. Warner’s commanding position in trader consensus reflects his strong fundraising edge, established name recognition, and Virginia’s recent pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates, reinforced by limited polling showing double-digit leads earlier in the cycle. The Republican primary field offered no breakout challenger capable of shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment boosting turnout and resources for the challenger in this swing-state environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,427Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who won the August 4 primary. Warner’s commanding position in trader consensus reflects his strong fundraising edge, established name recognition, and Virginia’s recent pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates, reinforced by limited polling showing double-digit leads earlier in the cycle. The Republican primary field offered no breakout challenger capable of shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment boosting turnout and resources for the challenger in this swing-state environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,427Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who won the August 4 primary. Warner’s commanding position in trader consensus reflects his strong fundraising edge, established name recognition, and Virginia’s recent pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates, reinforced by limited polling showing double-digit leads earlier in the cycle. The Republican primary field offered no breakout challenger capable of shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment boosting turnout and resources for the challenger in this swing-state environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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