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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard

Dillon Roberts 23%

Michael Johnstone 13%

Leanne Raw 12%

Chloe Foster 9.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Dillon Roberts 23%

Michael Johnstone 13%

Leanne Raw 12%

Chloe Foster 9.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$746 Vol.

23%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$1,020 Vol.

13%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$3,645 Vol.

12%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$1,045 Vol.

20%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$717 Vol.

3%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$864 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election, scheduled for October 27, 2026, features multiple sitting councillors alongside new entrants, producing a fragmented contest that keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leading candidates. Dillon Roberts, Chloe Foster, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone sit closest in trader consensus, reflecting comparable local government experience, community profiles, and early positioning ahead of nominations opening in early September. Incumbent Mary Duniam remains undecided on recontesting, while procedural factors such as compulsory voting for enrolled residents and official declaration by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission add further uncertainty. Developments that could shift the balance include formal nomination filings, candidate ticket alignments, or focused campaigning on issues like rates, infrastructure, and services that resonate with voters in the coming weeks.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,037
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election, scheduled for October 27, 2026, features multiple sitting councillors alongside new entrants, producing a fragmented contest that keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leading candidates. Dillon Roberts, Chloe Foster, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone sit closest in trader consensus, reflecting comparable local government experience, community profiles, and early positioning ahead of nominations opening in early September. Incumbent Mary Duniam remains undecided on recontesting, while procedural factors such as compulsory voting for enrolled residents and official declaration by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission add further uncertainty. Developments that could shift the balance include formal nomination filings, candidate ticket alignments, or focused campaigning on issues like rates, infrastructure, and services that resonate with voters in the coming weeks.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,037
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

53%
Oui
icon for Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

54%
Oui
icon for Stephanie Cameron va-t-elle remporter la prochaine élection à la mairie de Meander Valley ?

Stephanie Cameron va-t-elle remporter la prochaine élection à la mairie de Meander Valley ?

54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Dillon Roberts » à 23%, suivi de « Chloe Foster » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 23¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard » est « Dillon Roberts » à 23%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chloe Foster » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Waratah–Wynyard » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.